UPDATE: 11:55 p.m.
Lynchburg, VA - A major snowstorm is likely Wednesday into Thursday, giving the Heart of Virginia the most snow we've seen in years.
Wednesday system starts as snow by 3 p.m. and gets heavy by Wednesday night.
It will be a wet snow, weighing down power lines and tree limbs.
Roads will become slick Wednesday night.
Total accumulations of 6-12" appear likely at this point, with some areas as much as 14", depending on where the heavier bands of snow develop.
The system itself is going to take a classic track for heavy snow for this area.
The snow will continue Thursday morning before tapering off by the afternoon Thursday.
This will be a serious storm. Stay with the ABC 13 Weather Experts for the very latest.
Just log onto wset.com and look for the "Weather Chat" banner and ask your questions!
Lynchburg, VA - After a winter of small clippers and weak winter weather events that have only amounted to an inch or two of snow, it finally looks like a large and significant snow storm is possible Wednesday.
Two systems need to be watched into the week ahead for winter weather. The second system Wednesday looks to be potentially serious right now.
Before Wednesday, though, a very small and fast-moving streak of snow will move from west to east across North Carolina, possibly giving some areas south of the state line a dusting of snow by noon Monday.
In-house RPM computer models available to ABC 13 show very little snow with the Monday system, so accumulations Monday are not expected overall.
"It is possible the [Monday] storm could clip our southern counties on its northern fringe. If that were to happen, Southside counties could experience light snow showers or flurries Monday morning through lunch time. At this time, no accumulation expected," ABC 13 Meteorologist Lyndsay Tapases said Sunday evening.
"There will be a small band of snow that falls with the Monday system," National Weather Service (NWS) Forecaster Chris Mattorchia said. "But the ground is warm, so accumulations, if any, will be very minor."
Wednesday, however is a different story.
"By midweek the largest winter storm of the season is likely to affect the area," ABC 13 Meteorologist Matt Ferguson said.
Low pressure will develop to our south near the Gulf of Mexico and ride up the coast into Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures look to be cold enough for snow area-wide with the system Wednesday.
Locals that track the weather around Virginia know that it takes a southern system along with cold from the north to give the area significant snow, and the pattern looks to be in place just in time for the middle of the week.
"All of the ingredients are finally starting to come together, after being absent most of the winter," Mattorchia said.
The jet stream will help to enforce cold air to our north Tuesday into Wednesday, locking it into place before the moisture gets into our area.
Meanwhile, the southern jet stream will be sending a strong disturbance east, then north as the system intensifies late Tuesday.
The fact that the southern system will be stronger will help the low ride north along the coast, throwing lots of moisture west into the cold air in place. A weaker system would simply move east and out to sea, as many systems have done this year.
"This storm moves our way for Wednesday afternoon and sticks around through most of Thursday. At this time precipitation is expected to fall in the form of mainly snow," Ferguson added.
While Wednesday's system is still developing, an early call for accumulations range from 4" to 8". There are signs snow totals could be even higher, as computer models are suggesting 6" to 12" possible.
If models are correct, the snow would start after midnight Tuesday and continue falling heavy at times all day Wednesday, with some lingering into Wednesday evening, followed by gusty winds.
"I think the term plow-able should cover it, Tapases said Sunday."As of Sunday afternoon, confidence is increasing that a plow-able snow will affect all parts of the viewing area Wednesday night into Thursday morning".
ABC 13 Chief Meteorologist Sean Sublette agreed, saying on the air that if the forecast verifies, it would be the type of snow people would have to shovel.
"This has the potential to be a high-impact event," Mattorchia said. "I wouldn't be surprised if we have to issue Winter Storm Watches or Warnings within the next 24 to 36 hours."
Stay with the ABC 13 Weather Experts for the latest on this developing winter weather situation.